- The XRP market capitalization increased $ 7.74 billion with only $ 12.87 million tickets on April 12, 2025.
- The current market capitalization of XRP is $ 125 billion and its price is around $ 2.13.
- Nine companies submitted requests for XRP ETFs to the SEC in recent months.
As the interest in the funds quoted in the Bag (ETF) of cryptocurrencies intensifies, XRP is gaining attention for its price promoted by institutional entries.
According to financial analyst Zach Rector XRP could reach $ 15 in 2025 if ETF tickets reach $ 4 billion, taking advantage of a market capitalization multiplier model.
This estimate comes at a time when several asset administrators, including Grayscale, Vaneck and Ark Invest, are queuing XRP ETFs in the United States.
Ripple’s pending legal resolution also feeds the speculation that the SEC could approve one or more ETF of XRP by the end of the year.
A strong multiplier effect
The rector’s analysis is based on a simple but forceful concept: the stock capitalization multiplier. This metric divides the variation of the stock market capitalization of an asset between the size of its net entrance, which allows to measure the impact of capital entrance to the market.
On April 12, 2025, XRP market capitalization increased by $ 7.74 billion in eight hours, with only $ 12.87 million in tickets, which is equivalent to a 601x multiplier.
Using a more conservative multiplier of 200x, rector projected what would happen if the lower prognosis of JPMorgan of $ 4 billion in XRP ETF tickets was met.
According to its model, this could boost an increase of $ 800 billion in market capitalization. Based on an estimated offer of 60 billion XRP tokens, this would place the price of XRP at $ 15, compared to its current price of approximately $ 2.13. This implies a price increase of 597%.
Fountain: Coinmarketcap
ETF presentations increase impulse
The perspective of an XRP ETF won more strength this month when nine fund managers requested products in the United States Stock Exchange and Securities Commission.
The list includes Franklin Templeton, Wisdomtree, 21Shares and Bitwise. At the same time, Ripple is expected to resolve its prolonged litigation with the SEC in 2025, thus eliminating a key regulatory obstacle.
Meanwhile, an ETF leverage by XRP from Teucrium Investment Advisors began to quote Nyse Arca. While it is not an ETF in cash, its approval has generated hope that similar funds can follow its example.
Internationally, Brazil approved an XRP ETF in cash in March 2025, becoming the first country to do so. Polymarket currently estimates that the probability of approval in the US. By the end of the year it is 78 %.
JPMorgan expects important capital tickets
JPMorgan estimated at the beginning of this year that XRP ETFs could attract between 4,000 and 8,000 million dollars in net tickets during their first year. The rector’s forecast was based on the lower end of this range, avoiding more risky assumptions.
Even so, the underlying logic of a multiplier effect means that modest capital entries can have a huge effect on market capitalization.
Currently, XRP has a market capitalization of approximately $ 125 billion. If the multiplier model is maintained and tickets total $ 4 billion, it could reach an assessment of $ 925 billion.
However, Rector also acknowledged that his model does not take into account futures markets, decentralized trade in the XRP LEDger or changes in the supply of tokens, all of which could further change prices dynamics.
Although ETF products in Ethereum have experienced disappointing tickets of only $ 2.28 billion since July 2024, the recent XRP price action and the ETF interest could differentiate it.
But regulatory deadlines and investor risk appetite will ultimately decide how the scenario will take place.
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